Sunday, May 12, 2013

DI Review: 2001 NBA Draft

The following is the second in a ten part series in which we'll review the past 10 NBA drafts, provide the Draftability Index Score for every American college prospect, and analyze the findings. One note before we dive in, all of the data is being pulled from Basketball Reference and the NBA Geek and the win share numbers are the players' career average per 48 minutes to date. If you're new to that measurement, a league average score is .100 and 'star' level production correlates to .200 and above. 

The rating system is as follows: Green level prospects are the strongest and will be notated with an E, Gold level prospects are reasonably desirable prospects and are notated with a G, Red level prospects are suspect prospects and are notated with an R, and Gray level prospects are highly suspect and are notated with a Y.

The top of the 2001 belonged to high schoolers as Kwame Brown, Tyson Chandler, and Eddy Curry were three of the drafts first four picks. In fact much of the star power in this draft comes by way of Europe (Gasol, Parker) or the high school ranks. We sift through that which remains in search of some good pieces in this DI Review...


Round One
                                             DI Score           Rating           WP per 48
5) Jason Richardson               1.35                   E                      .111
6) Shane Battier                       2.22                   E                      .186
7) Eddie Griffin                         0.85                   G                      .078
9) Rodney White                      0.27                   R                      .026
10) Joe Johnson                      0.46                    R                     .095
13) Richard Jefferson              0.27                    R                     .124
14) Troy Murphy                      0.12                     Y                     .131
15) Steven Hunter                   0.24                     Y                      .085
16) Kirk Haston                       0.27                     R                     -.020
17) Michael Bradley                 0.19                     Y                     .047
18) Jason Collins                     0.70                     G                     .000
19) Zach Randolph                  0.47                     R                     .099
20) Brendan Haywood             0.40                     R                     .142
21) Joseph Forte                     0.35                      R                   -.017
22) Jeryl Sasser                       0.81                     G                    .032
23) Brandon Armstrong           0.39                     R                    -.004
25) Gerald Wallace                  0.92                     G                     .179
27) Jamaal Tinsley                  1.63                      E                     .093

Notes: DI hits on 2 of 3 green prospects- formally 3 of 3 before Tinsley's ignominious Utah revival. This was a great round for complementary pieces and most didn't show much promise (Johnson, Jefferson, Murphy) we did hit on Wallace and Battier on the wing. Similarly undershooting Randolph and Haywood makes this a pretty forgettable round for DI, but a GM zeroing in on Wallace and Tinsley wouldn't have hurt himself too badly.



Round Two
                                             DI Score           Rating           WP per 48
29) Trenton Hassell                 0.09                   Y                       .041
30) Gilbert Arenas                   0.74                    G                      .087
31) Omar Cook                       0.81                    G                    -.002
32) Will Solomon                     0.08                    Y                      .000
33) Terence Morris                  0.92                    G                     .025
34) Brian Scalabrine               0.21                    Y                       .054
35) Jeff Trepagnier                 0.47                      R                   -.004
36) Damone Brown                0.44                     R                    -.100
38) Michael Wright                  0.20                    Y                       .000
39) Earl Watson                      0.48                    R                     .087
40) Jamison Brewer               0.52                      G                    .000
41) Bobby Simmons               0.33                     R                     .085
42) Eric Chenowith                 0.44                     R                      .000
43) Kyle Hill                             0.21                     R                      .000
44) Sean Lampley                  0.44                     R                      .096
45) Loren Woods                    0.67                     G                     .062
48) Ken Johnson                     0.61                     G                      .000
49) Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje   0.74                    G                     .027
51) Andre Hutson                     0.61                    G                     .000
52) Jarron Collins                    0.24                     Y                     .088
53) Kenny Satterfield               0.99                     G                    -.005
54) Maurice Jeffers                 0.23                      Y                     .000
56) Alvin Jones                        0.34                      R                    .034
57) Bryan Bracey                    0.08                      Y                     .000

Notes: This was one of those second rounds where you don't even recognize guys names a couple years later. Agent Zero made an Icarus like run through the league, and Simmons, Watson, and the incomparable Brian Scalabrine made nice careers for themselves. DI was pretty high on a few of the guys to go at the end of the proceedings (Hutson, Satterfield, Boumtje) however it doesn't look like the league missed much in shuffling them through. 

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